← Card Merchant Christchurch Regional
Water Tera SilvieTier 2
at Card Merchant Christchurch Regional
decks
1
(2.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.6%
avg ELO -6.6 per match
expected value
41.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 973
· median 973
· range 973–973
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
973
Q1 1153
Q3 1364
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 21.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.3% | -2.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Silvie decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
